The WCRP-JCOMM Workshop on Coordinated Global Wave Climate Projections
COWCLIP

Workshop

11 - 13 April 2011

Location

World Meteorological Organization
Case Postale 2300
CH-1211 Geneva
Switzerland



Organiser(s) & Staff
Participation

Open attendance.

The WCRP-JCOMM Workshop on Coordinated Global Wave Climate Projections
Summary

Surface wind waves were identified in the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) as one of the key drivers in the coastal zone, but little information was available on projected changes under future climate scenarios. The main focus was on the influence of sea-level rise and inundation effects. The IPCC Working Group II recognised that risks to coastal population and ecosystems require inclusion of a broader range of coastal drivers of change. One of the key drivers, which has received insufficient attention to date, is wind-waves. The JCOMM and WCRP jointly supported Coordinated Ocean Wave Climate Projections (COWCLIP) workshop, held at WMO in Geneva, 11-13 April, 2011, provided a forum to develop a coordinated approach to wave projection studies to maximise their benefit as input into the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. Several methods of deriving wave climate projections are being developed, including dynamical and statistical approaches. In the dynamical method, surface forcing taken from climate models is used to force a spectral wave model. Bias-adjustment (of waves or of forcing winds) may be used to improve current wave climate representation, assuming a time invariant bias adjustment to derive future projections. The statistical approach uses current climate reanalyses (atmospheric and wave) to establish a statistical relationship between the predictor (e.g., MSLP, 10-m winds) and the predictand (e.g., most commonly Hs, but other variables are being considered). The statistical relationship established is then applied to projections of the predictor taken from climate models to derive projections of the predictand. COWCLIP aims to generate wave climate projections (ultimately of global extent) and aid comprehensive assessments of their cascading uncertainty by:

  • Providing a systematic, community-based framework and infrastructure to support validation, intercomparison, documentation and data access for wave climate projections forced from CMIP5 datasets;
  • To describe best practice for regional wave climate projections, and ;
  • Engaging interests of the wave community into the wider climate community and ultimately developing coupled wind-wave Atmosphere-Ocean global climate models to support quantification of wind-wave driven feedback in the coupled climate system.
Workshop presentation and discussion sessions were focused to identify key research questions and recommendations against four themes:
  • Global wave projections
  • Regional wave projections
  • Coupling of wind-waves into coupled climate models
  • Historical wave climate variability and change
A key recommended objective of COWCLIP is coordination of global wave projections for intercomparison between international research groups, to understand uncertainty within the community ensemble of wave climate projections. Initial intercomparison experiments are being undertaken with a view to include wave parameters in greater detail in the IPCC AR5. The long-term COWCLIP goal is for waves to become a standard component of the coupled climate system, with waves coupled into climate models. Such an approach has advantages of (1) more physically representative parameterisations of key processes at the air-sea interface, and (2) removing the need for un-coupled wave model runs to generate wave information, needed by the impacts community but also simply providing additional parameters to assess the coupled climate system. The workshop was jointly sponsored by WCRP and JCOMM.

Report
Code Name Updated on Action
JCOMM-TR-055, WMO/TD-No. 1581, WCRP Informal Report No. 22/2011, SPA_ETWS_COWCLIP_01 Final Report: WCRP-JCOMM Workshop on Coordinated Global Wave Climate Projections (COWCLIP) 11/04/2013
Presentation
Agenda Code Name Updated on Action
Agenda Code Name Updated on Action
CMIP5: promoting a balance between prediction evaluating models using observations, and understanding 09/05/2011
Coordinated Ocean Wave Climate Projections: An Introduction 09/05/2011
Projected future wave climate along Australia’s eastern margin 09/05/2011
WMO Interactions on Ocean Matters 09/05/2011
Numerical Study of Wind Wave Climatology over the Northwestern Pacific Ocean 09/05/2011
1.B Dynamical downscaling of regional wave climate in the northern North Atlantic; results and challenges 09/05/2011
1.C Wave climate projections in the NW Mediterranean 09/05/2011
1.C Regional wave climate projection studies in the Mediterranean Sea 09/05/2011
1.C Statistical Downscaling of Extreme Wave Climate 20/06/2011
1.D Present and future global wave data sets from ECMWF re-analyses and their relevance for climate studies. 09/05/2011
1.D Analysis of wava climate: observations and models 09/05/2011
1.D Wave climate and direct computation of wave extremes estimated from 10 years of EPS prognoses 09/05/2011
2.A Impact of a Warmer Climate on the Global Wave Field (Preliminary Results) 09/05/2011
2.A Dynamic Projection of Future Global Wave Climate Change 09/05/2011
2.A Statistical Reconstruction and Projection of Ocean Waves 09/05/2011
2.B Present and Future Wave Climate along the French Mainland Atlantic Coast, using Dynamical Downscaling 20/06/2011
2.B Wave Climate of the NW European shelf 09/05/2011
2.C Air-sea interactions, Hindcasting to estimate wave energy resources 09/05/2011
2.D Two-way Coupling between Surface Gravity Waves and Climate 09/05/2011
2.D Simulated wave climatology during the past 30-years and wave climate projection in the late 21st Century 09/05/2011
Background Documents
27
Invited
27
Confirmed
0
Provisional
0
Unapproved
0
Declined
0
Rejected
Other
27
Name Country
BIDLOT Jean-Raymond United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
CAIRES Sofia Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
CARVALHO Jonas Takeo Brazil
CASAS PRAT Mercè Canada
CHARLES Elodie France
CHEUNG Kwok Fai United States of America
DEBENARD Jens Norway
FAN Yalin United States of America
FLATO Gregory Canada
FOX-KEMPER Baylor United States of America
GRABEMANN Iris Germany
GROLL Nikolaus Germany
GUENTHER Heinz Germany
HEMER Mark Australia
KANG KiRyong Republic of Korea
LIONELLO Piero Italy
MENDEZ Fernando J. Spain
MORI Nobuhito Japan
OCAMPO TORRES Francisco Mexico
PERRIE Will Canada
RUGBJERG Morten Denmark
SEMEDO Alvaro Sweden
SWAIL Val Canada
WANG Xiaolan Canada
WEISSE Ralf Germany
WOLF Judith United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
YASUDA Tomohiro Japan
Status Legend
Confirmed & Approved
Need Confirmation
Need Approval
Declined
Rejected
Group(s): GOOS - Global Ocean Observing System, ICR, JCOMM.
Label(s): no labels
Created at 14:38 on 24 Aug 2010 by Boram Lee
Last Updated at 10:30 on 19 Mar 2014 by Boram Lee
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